Saturday, May 9, 2015

New technologies


An article in The Atlantic recently featured this graph, though a more detailed version can be found here:
This chart is rather unremarkable, and it doesn't strongly support the idea that consumption spreads faster today.  Why did it take so long for electricity to be adopted, but such a short time for color TV?  The simplest explanation is infrastructure.  Before the homes in an area can have electricity, a power plant has to be built nearby.  After this, a network of transmission lines needs to be built to deliver the electricity to homes.  All of this requires time, effort, and money.

Television—which was distributed wirelessly for much of the 20th century—only required to be put in the homes.  Units could be produced quickly and transported easily.  Once the technology was available, it could be distributed quickly.  Looking closely at the graph, we see that during their periods of quick growth, radio and color TV matched the growth of the Internet.

Furthermore, this graph ignores the early development of electrical appliances.  The impetus for electric power plants was electric lighting.  However, many electronic appliances were first developed before 1930 to make use of electricity.  The data is not shown, but it is possible that these would have grown quickly to match the prevalence of electricity of the time.

2 comments:

  1. This demonstrates a very common pattern for humankind and the growth of technology. If we look at our past and see the technology used and the time it took to fully adopt, one can suppose that this is an exponential curve (which echos the population). Technology breeds technology, constant improvements and new ideas will always thrive in a place where technology and improvement are allowed to flourish and are supported. The day we say "no more" to research, is the day things start to crash bad.

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    1. The chart also ignores the obsolescence of some technologies. While a lot of households probably still have VCR, it really isn't supported by an industry any more.

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